Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Stevenage
30.1%
Draw
29.0%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Stevenage
vs
0.85
Colchester
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.556.7%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
0-0
14.0%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).