Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Stevenage
24.8%
Draw
50.1%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Stevenage
vs
1.43
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).