Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.0%
Maidenhead
18.7%
Draw
68.3%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Maidenhead
vs
2.43
York
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.6%
Over 3.544.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.5%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
0-0
3.9%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).