Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Kasimpasa
34.7%
Draw
34.5%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Kasimpasa
vs
1.21
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.5%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).