Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Aldershot
26.7%
Draw
32.7%
Chorley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Aldershot
vs
1.35
Chorley
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
0-1
6.6%
0-0
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).