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23 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.5%
Jagiellonia Białystok
27.7%
Draw
30.9%
Zagłębie Lubin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Jagiellonia Białystok

vs
1.24

Zagłębie Lubin

Markets

BTTS55.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).