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AHT: 05CSV

05 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.3%
Huesca
28.6%
Draw
26.1%
Valencia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Huesca

vs
0.93

Valencia

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).