Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.1%
Forest Green
23.3%
Draw
52.6%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Forest Green
vs
1.68
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.4%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).