Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.8%
Accrington
26.8%
Draw
46.4%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Accrington
vs
1.26
Exeter
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).