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DHT: 20CSV

17 Jan 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.9%
Paris FC
33.2%
Draw
29.9%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Paris FC

vs
0.74

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS29.0%
Over 0.580.8%
Over 1.546.3%
Over 2.521.6%
Over 3.57.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
19.2%
1-0
18.5%
0-1
16.0%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
5.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
2.1%
2-2
2.0%
3-1
1.6%
0-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).