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HHT: 11CSV

14 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.9%
Stevenage
29.8%
Draw
36.3%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Stevenage

vs
0.96

Stockport

Markets

BTTS36.0%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.554.9%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.8%
1-0
15.1%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).