Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Sociedad
19.6%
Draw
60.7%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Sociedad
vs
2.35
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS65.9%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.549.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.2%
1-3
7.3%
0-2
7.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
2-3
4.7%
1-4
4.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).