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24 May 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.5%
CSKA Moskva
22.7%
Draw
8.8%
Bodrum FK

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

CSKA Moskva

vs
0.54

Bodrum FK

Markets

BTTS36.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.8%
2-0
15.8%
1-1
10.1%
0-0
10.1%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).