Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Gent
24.5%
Draw
33.7%
Mechelen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Gent
vs
1.51
Mechelen
Markets
BTTS64.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.0%
0-0
4.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).