Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.8%
Hatayspor
14.0%
Draw
77.2%
Fenerbahce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Hatayspor
vs
3.40
Fenerbahce
Markets
BTTS69.6%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.595.6%
Over 2.584.2%
Over 3.568.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
1-4
6.7%
0-3
6.3%
0-2
5.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-3
4.9%
1-5
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
2-4
4.1%
0-5
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).