Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Carrarese
30.2%
Draw
26.1%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Carrarese
vs
0.98
Padova
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).