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DHT: 00CSV

13 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.6%
Forfar
25.2%
Draw
49.2%
Dumbarton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Forfar

vs
1.72

Dumbarton

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
0-0
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).