Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Genoa
24.3%
Draw
25.4%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Genoa
vs
1.08
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).