Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Hull
28.0%
Draw
37.7%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Hull
vs
1.38
Millwall
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
0-0
7.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).