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DHT: 11CSV

08 May 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.5%
Bradford
29.9%
Draw
32.6%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Bradford

vs
0.95

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS38.9%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.558.4%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.514.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.8%
0-1
13.6%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).