Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.0%
Leyton Orient
20.5%
Draw
17.5%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Leyton Orient
vs
0.84
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).