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09 Jan 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.3%
Falkirk
18.7%
Draw
12.0%
Cove Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.34

Falkirk

vs
0.88

Cove Rangers

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.0%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).