Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Bury
33.1%
Draw
25.6%
Staveley MW
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Bury
vs
0.70
Staveley MW
Markets
BTTS30.9%
Over 0.581.7%
Over 1.549.5%
Over 2.523.6%
Over 3.58.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.7%
0-0
18.3%
0-1
13.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
6.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
3-0
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).