Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Akhmat Grozny
28.0%
Draw
19.1%
Orenburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Akhmat Grozny
vs
0.86
Orenburg
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).