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18 Mar 2023 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.8%
Regensburg
23.3%
Draw
63.9%
Paderborn

Expected Goals (xG)

0.73

Regensburg

vs
1.89

Paderborn

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.0%
0-1
12.7%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
4.3%
0-4
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-4
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).