Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Wrexham
30.1%
Draw
25.7%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Wrexham
vs
0.79
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).