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AHT: 03CSV

23 Aug 2024 · 19:00

Metz

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.1%
Rodez
19.9%
Draw
53.1%
Metz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Rodez

vs
2.05

Metz

Markets

BTTS65.0%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.4%
0-1
7.2%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.4%
1-0
5.2%
0-3
4.5%
2-3
4.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).