Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.3%
Gil Vicente
16.2%
Draw
10.6%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Gil Vicente
vs
0.75
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.1%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
5.7%
0-0
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
0-1
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).