Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.2%
Ajaccio
18.6%
Draw
71.2%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Ajaccio
vs
1.96
Lorient
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
0-2
15.4%
0-3
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
1-1
8.4%
0-0
7.5%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.0%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-1
2.5%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).