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21 Feb 2021 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.2%
Reggina
23.8%
Draw
14.0%
Pordenone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Reggina

vs
0.78

Pordenone

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.3%
1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).