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20 Aug 2022 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.6%
St Etienne
32.1%
Draw
32.3%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

St Etienne

vs
0.81

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS31.3%
Over 0.582.5%
Over 1.549.2%
Over 2.523.9%
Over 3.59.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
17.5%
1-0
17.2%
0-1
16.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
0-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).