Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Port Vale
25.2%
Draw
53.3%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Port Vale
vs
1.42
Stockport
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.9%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
11.2%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).