Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Harrogate
28.5%
Draw
47.2%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Harrogate
vs
1.24
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.7%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.1%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).