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AHT: 03CSV

27 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.1%
Doncaster
23.2%
Draw
43.7%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Doncaster

vs
1.61

Stockport

Markets

BTTS59.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).