Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Middlesbrough
21.8%
Draw
16.6%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Middlesbrough
vs
1.02
Leicester
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.8%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.7%
4-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).