Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Ascoli
29.4%
Draw
50.8%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Ascoli
vs
1.43
Venezia
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).