Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.4%
Porto
8.6%
Draw
3.0%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.95
Porto
vs
0.39
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS30.5%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.4%
3-0
15.1%
4-0
11.2%
1-0
10.6%
5-0
6.6%
2-1
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
1-1
3.9%
0-0
3.4%
5-1
2.6%
0-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).