Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Legia Warszawa
28.3%
Draw
28.8%
Pogoń Szczecin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Legia Warszawa
vs
1.14
Pogoń Szczecin
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).