Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.3%
AFC Wimbledon
18.0%
Draw
71.6%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
AFC Wimbledon
vs
2.09
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.3%
0-1
14.0%
0-3
10.0%
1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-0
4.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).