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HHT: 11CSV

11 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.4%
Standard
36.1%
Draw
33.5%
Mouscron

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Standard

vs
0.86

Mouscron

Markets

BTTS32.5%
Over 0.580.2%
Over 1.550.1%
Over 2.523.1%
Over 3.58.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
19.8%
0-1
15.6%
1-0
14.5%
1-1
13.8%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
2.2%
0-3
2.0%
3-0
1.6%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).