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23 Apr 2023 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.6%
West Brom
32.9%
Draw
38.6%
Sunderland

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

West Brom

vs
1.10

Sunderland

Markets

BTTS40.8%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.6%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
13.7%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).