Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.8%
Motherwell
20.9%
Draw
11.3%
Dundee United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Motherwell
vs
0.71
Dundee United
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
1-0
12.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
4.0%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).