Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.2%
Holstein Kiel
15.0%
Draw
72.9%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Holstein Kiel
vs
3.05
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS68.6%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.580.4%
Over 3.562.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
0-3
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-4
6.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-3
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
0-4
4.9%
2-4
3.8%
1-5
3.7%
0-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).