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20 Mar 2022 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.4%
Gent
25.9%
Draw
32.8%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

1.56

Gent

vs
1.36

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS59.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
0-1
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).