Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.1%
Leeds
15.7%
Draw
6.1%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Leeds
vs
0.55
West Brom
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.0%
3-0
12.1%
1-0
12.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.7%
4-1
4.0%
5-0
3.5%
0-1
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).