Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.6%
Wurzburger Kickers
30.3%
Draw
42.2%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Wurzburger Kickers
vs
1.31
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).