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24 Jan 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.0%
Boreham Wood
19.1%
Draw
15.9%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

2.47

Boreham Wood

vs
1.18

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS64.0%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
6.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
4-1
4.8%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
4.0%
0-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).