Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Famalicao
26.0%
Draw
21.3%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Famalicao
vs
0.79
Aves
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
11.1%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).