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02 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.9%
St Johnstone
27.0%
Draw
20.2%
Partick

Expected Goals (xG)

1.76

St Johnstone

vs
1.03

Partick

Markets

BTTS54.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
4.5%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).