Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Cesena
29.1%
Draw
29.5%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Cesena
vs
1.14
Spezia
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).